Philip Tetlock
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by Philip Tetlock
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From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions.
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by Philip Tetlock
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The pundits we all listen to are no better at predictions than a "dart-throwing chimp," and they are routinely surpassed by normal news-attentive citizens.
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by Philip Tetlock
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The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion.
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